The value of feedback in forecasting competitions

 

In this paper we challenge the traditional design used for forecasting competitions. We implement an online competition with a public leaderboard that provides instant feedback to competitors who are allowed to revise and resubmit forecasts. The results show that feedback significantly improves forecasting accuracy.

Cite

@article{AH11,
  author    = {George Athanasopoulos and Rob J Hyndman},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.03.002},
  journal   = {International J Forecasting},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {845--849},
  publisher = {Elsevier B.V.},
  title     = {The value of feedback in forecasting competitions},
  volume    = {27},
  year      = 2011
}