Tourism forecasting competition ends


24 November 2010


And the winners are … Jeremy Howard and Lee C Baker. (See my earlier post for information about the competition.)

Jeremy describes his approach to seasonal time series in a blog post on Lee described his approach to annual time series in an earlier post.

A few lessons that come out of this:

Jeremy and Lee receive $500 for their efforts and they have decided to donate their prize money to the Fred Hollows Foundation. $500 will restore vision to 20 people. They will also write up their methods in more detail for the International Journal of Forecasting. I am hopeful that Philip Brierley of team Sali Mali (who did very well in the second stage of the competition) will also write a short explanation of his methods for the IJF.

Thanks to everyone who participated in the competition. Thanks also to Anthony Goldbloom from Kaggle for hosting the competition. Kaggle is a wonderful platform for prediction competitions and I hope it will be used for many more competitions of this type in the future.