Hyndsight

Thoughts on research, forecasting, statistics, and other distractions.

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All Hyndsight posts by date

Call for papers: Innovations in hierarchical forecasting

26 October 2020

There is a new call for papers for a special issue of the International Journal of Forecasting on “Innovations in hierarchical forecasting”.

Guest editors: George Athanasopoulos, Rob J Hyndman, Anastasios Panagiotelis, and Nikolaos Kourentzes.

Submission deadline: 31 August 2021.

Co-authorships for sale

20 October 2020

research, publishing, journals, writing

This is an interesting development! How many papers are published by bogus authors, and what is the going price for a coauthorship? Needless to say, this is appalling and contrary to every academic integrity policy I’ve seen. See the Monash authorship policy for example. Dear Hyndman, Rob J. Hope you are doing well. I write this letter on behalf of authors seeking to co-publish. We have seen your previous works (https://www.

Contraceptive forecasting competition

24 July 2020

time series, forecasting

Here’s an interesting new forecasting competition that came via my inbox this week. Contraceptive access is vital to safe motherhood, healthy families, and prosperous communities. Greater access to contraceptives enables couples and individuals to determine whether, when, and how often to have children. In low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) around the world, health systems are often unable to accurately predict the quantity of contraceptives necessary for each health service delivery site, in part due to insufficient data, limited staff capacity, and inadequate systems.

Advice to PhD applicants

25 January 2019

computing, mathematics, statistics, supervision

For students who are interested in doing a PhD at Monash under my supervision. First, check that you satisfy the following criteria: You must have completed a degree in statistics that involved some research component (e.g., an honours or masters thesis). A degree in computer science, mathematics or econometrics might be acceptable if it contained a substantial amount of statistics. A degree in any other field is not sufficient background to work with me.

Network for early career researchers in forecasting

22 December 2018

forecasting, conferences

The International Institute of Forecasters has established interest group sections, devoted to specialized domains of forecasting. One of the first such sections will be for early career researchers. So if you are a PhD student, post-doc, or otherwise a relatively junior researcher working in forecasting, this is for you! The first events will be during the ISF in Thessaloniki in June 2019, including the following: ECR welcoming event. A meet and greet event prior to the ISF welcome reception.

M4 Forecasting Conference

28 November 2018

forecasting, R, reproducible research, time series, conferences

Following the highly successful M4 Forecasting Competition, there will be a conference held on 10-11 December at Tribeca Rooftop, New York, to discuss the results. The conference will elaborate on the findings of the M4 Competition, with prominent speakers from leading business firms (Amazon, Uber, Google, Microsoft, SAS, and ProLogistica) and top universities. Nassim Nicholas Taleb will deliver a keynote address about uncertainty in forecasting and elaborate on his claims that “tail risks are much worse now than in 2007” while Spyros Makridakis will discuss how organizations can benefit by improving the accuracy of their predictions and assessing uncertainty realistically.

MeDaScIn 2018

26 August 2018

conferences, data science, seminars, forecasting, R

The annual Melbourne Data Science Initiative (or MeDaScIn, pronounced medicine) is on again next month (24-27 September) with lots of tutorials, and the annual datathon. This year there will be a “Forecasting with R” workshop (25 September) led my two of my Monash colleagues – George Athanasopoulos and Elena Sanina. Another great tutorial will be led by Steph Kovalchik (from Tennis Australia) on sports analytics with R (24 September). For the full list of tutorials, see the MeDaScIn website.

National Science Week Melbourne Mathematics Activities

6 August 2018

seminars, acems, mathematics, Monash University

Next week is National Science Week and there are a few mathematics activities happening around Melbourne that are being sponsored by ACEMS. Elsewhere in Melbourne: Mon 13 Aug 2018, 6:00pm - 7:30pm Public Talk: Is this your card? Location: University of Melbourne Speakers: Anthony Mays & Jen Palisse Pick a card, any card! The immortal phrase of the magician. In this talk, we’ll look at some great card tricks that have simple maths behind them.

UseR!2018 talks

15 July 2018

All talks from useR!2018, held in Brisbane last week, are now available on YouTube.

Links to talks from members of my research team are given below.

Forecasting in NYC: 25-27 June 2018

23 April 2018

forecasting, time series, R, conferences, data science

In late June, I will be in New York to teach my 3-day workshop on Forecasting using R. Tickets are available at Eventbrite. This is the first time I’ve taught this workshop in the US, having previously run it in the Netherlands and Australia. It will be based on the 2nd edition of my book “Forecasting: Principles and Practice” with George Athanasopoulos. All participants will get a print version of the book.