A brief history of forecasting competitions

 

Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation, and what they can tell us about forecasting. I also provide a few suggestions for potential future competitions, and for research about forecasting based on competitions.

This paper won the “Outstanding M Paper Award” from the International Journal of Forecasting.

Cite

@article{forecastingcompetitions,
  author  = {Rob J Hyndman},
  doi     = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.015},
  journal = {International J Forecasting},
  number  = {1},
  pages   = {7-14},
  title   = {A brief history of forecasting competitions},
  url     = {http://robjhyndman.com/publications/forecasting-competitions},
  volume  = {36},
  year    = 2020
}