# Hyndsight

### Australian Academy of Science

The Australian Academy of Science has put out a new video about my work.

### Notation for forecast reconciliation

The various papers on forecast reconcilation written over the last 13 years have not used a consistent notation. We have revised our notation as we have slowly come to understand the problem better. This is common in a new area, but it makes it tricky to read the literature as you need to figure out how the notation of each paper maps to what you’ve already read.

### WOMBAT 2022

WOMBAT is back! The WOMBAT conferences are “Workshops Organized by the Monash Business Analytics Team”. The first one was held in 2016, and later editions took place in 2017 and 2019. The 2022 version will take place on 6-7 December.

### Time series and forecasting workshop: 9-10 November 2022

In most recent years, I’ve run a 2-3 day workshop, held in various locations around the world. The one this year will be in Canberra on 9-10 November, and will be taught jointly with Associate Professor Bahman Rostami-Tabar. Details are here.

### Monash time series forecasting repository

### Co-authorships for sale

### Excess deaths for 2020

### Electricity demand data in tsibble format

`tsibbledata`

packages contains the `vic_elec`

data set, containing half-hourly electricity demand for…
### Non-Gaussian forecasting using fable

**fable**package, we saw how fable can produce forecast distributions, not just point…

### Tidy forecasting in R

**fable**package for doing tidy forecasting in R is now on CRAN. Like

**tsibble**and

**feasts**, it is also part of the tidyverts family of packages for analysing, modelling and…

### Feature-based time series analysis

`feasts`

package can be used to produce various time series graphics.
### Time series graphics using feasts

### Translations of “Forecasting: principles and practice”

### Post-docs in wind and solar power forecasting

### Advice to PhD applicants

**For students who are interested in doing a PhD at Monash under my supervision.**

### forecast 8.5

### M4 Forecasting Conference

### Forecasting in NYC: 25-27 June 2018

**Forecasting using R**. Tickets are available at Eventbrite.

### R package for M4 Forecasting Competition

### M4 Forecasting Competition update

### Some new time series packages

**tscompdata**) contains several large collections of time series…

### M4 Forecasting Competition: response from Spyros Makridakis

*Following my post on the M4 competition yesterday, Spyros Makridakis sent me these comments for posting here.*### Looking for a new research assistant

### rOpenSci OzUnconference coming to Melbourne

**rOpenSci OzUnconference**in Australia. This one will be held in Melbourne, on 26-27 October 2017.

### Forecasting workshop in Perth

### IIF Tao Hong Award 2016

*International Journal of Forecasting*. The award for 2016 is for papers published within 2013–2014. Next year we will award a paper published in 2015–2016, and we will make the award every…

### ISI Karl Pearson Prize for 2017

### Handgun acquisitions in California after two mass shootings

### Software for honours students

### Monash Rmarkdown templates on github

### Follow-up forecasting forum in Eindhoven

### IJF Best Paper Award 2014-2015

*International Journal of Forecasting*. It is now time to identify the best paper published in the IJF during 2014 and 2015. There is always about 18 months delay after the publication period to allow time for…

### forecast 8.0

### The Australian Macro Database

### Q&A: predictive analytics

### Q&A time

### Come to Melbourne, even if not to Monash

### Call for forecasting workshops in Cairns, Australia

**International Symposium on Forecasting**will be…

### Eindhoven seminar on time series visualization

### R package forecast v7.2 now on CRAN

### Rmarkdown template for a Monash working paper

### The latest IJF issue with GEFCom2014 results

*IJF*is a bumper issue with over 500 pages of forecasting insights.

### rOpenSci unconference in Brisbane, 21-22 April 2016

### ACEMS Business Analytics Prize 2016

### Starting a career in data science

### Making data analysis easier

*” for 18-19 February 2016.*

**Making data analysis easier**### Who’s downloading the forecast package?

### The hidden benefits of open-source software

### Stanford seminar

### Chinese R conference

**“Forecasting Big Time Series Data using R”.**

### Murphy diagrams in R

*International Symposium on Forecasting*, held in Riverside, California, Tillman Gneiting gave a great talk on

**“Evaluating forecasts: why proper…**

### Useful tutorials

### My Yahoo talk is now online

### IJF best paper awards

### North American seminars: June 2015

### R vs Autobox vs ForecastPro vs …

### New in forecast 6.0

### Nominations for IJF Best Paper 2012-2013

*International Journal of Forecasting*in 2012-2013. I have included an excerpt from the nomination in each case. The papers in bold have been short-listed for…

### Thinking big at Yahoo

**Friday 26 June**. I hope I can live up to the title!

### Travelling Thilaksha

### Paperpile makes me more productive

### A new open source data set for detecting time series outliers

### Common reasons for rejection

*International Journal of Forecasting*, without sending the papers…

### Statistical modelling and analysis of big data

### Standard error: a poem

### RSS feeds for statistics and related journals

### Seminars in Taiwan

### Di Cook is moving to Monash

### Honoring Herman Stekler

*IJF*for 2015 has just been published, and I’m delighted that it includes a special section honoring Herman Stekler. It includes articles covering a range of his forecasting interests, although not all of them (sports forecasting is missing). Herman…

### Visualization of probabilistic forecasts

### Seasonal periods

### ABS seasonal adjustment update

### Connect with local employers

### Resources for the FPP book

### Forecasting with R in WA

### GEFCom 2014 energy forecasting competition is underway

### Visit of Di Cook

### Student forecasting awards from the IIF

### Plotting the characteristic roots for ARIMA models

### Variations on rolling forecasts

### Varian on big data

*Journal of Economic Perspectives*,

**28**(2): 3-28.

### Specifying complicated groups of time series in hts

### European talks. June-July 2014

### Creating a handout from beamer slides

### Data science market places

### Structural breaks

### To explain or predict?

*Statistical Science*,

**25**(3), 289-310. (See her website for further materials.) This is a paper everyone doing statistics and econometrics should read as it helps to clarify a distinction that is often blurred. In the discussion, the following issues…

### New jobs in business analytics at Monash

### Great papers to read

### Publishing an R package in the Journal of Statistical Software

### Seven forecasting blogs

### Errors on percentage errors

### Generating tables in LaTeX

### My forecasting book now on Amazon

### Job at Center for Open Science

### Fast computation of cross-validation in linear models

### Probabilistic forecasting by Gneiting and Katzfuss (2014)

### Statistical politicians

### Interview for the Capital of Statistics

### Computational Actuarial Science with R

### Automatic time series forecasting in Granada

*Automatic Time Series Forecasting*.

### Free books on statistical learning

*Elements of Statistical Learning*first appeared in 2001 and is already a classic. It is my go-to book when I need a quick refresher on a machine learning algorithm. I like it because it is written using…

### New in forecast 5.0

`forecast`

package for R…
### Thoughts on the Ljung-Box test

### Looking for a new post-doc

### Estimating a nonlinear time series model in R

### How to get your paper rejected quickly

### Probabilistic Energy Forecasting

*International Journal of Forecasting*is calling for papers on probabilistic energy forecasting. Here are the details (taken from Tao Hong’s blog).

### MAXIMA research centre at Monash Uni

### Reflections on UseR! 2013

### Forecasting annual totals from monthly data

### Establishing priority

### Removing white space around R figures

### Batch forecasting in R

### Man vs Wild Data

### New in forecast 4.0

### Makefiles for R/LaTeX projects

**Updated:**21 November 2012

### COMPSTAT2012

### Blogs about research

### Read the literature

### My new forecasting textbook

### Blog aggregators

### Measuring time series characteristics

### Following authors on Google Scholar

### Cyclic and seasonal time series

### Researcher portals

### Statistical tests for variable selection

### In praise of Dropbox

### CrossValidated Journal Club

### Data visualization videos

### CrossValidated launched!

**The CrossValidated Q&A site is now out of beta and the new design and site name is live.**