Poll position: statistics and the Australian federal election

politics, statistics, R

One of the few people in Australia who did not write off a possible Coalition win at the recent federal election was Peter Ellis. We’ve invited him to come and give a talk about making sense of opinion polls and the Australian federal election on Friday this week at Monash University. Visitors are welcome. Here are the details. 11am, 31 May 2019. Room G03, Learning and Teaching Building, 19 Ancora Imparo Way, Clayton Campus, Monash University

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You are what you vote

politics, statistics, R

I’ve tried my hand at writing for the wider public with an article for The Conversation based on my paper with Di Cook and Jeremy Forbes on “Spatial modelling of the two-party preferred vote in Australian federal elections: 2001-2016”. With the next Australian election taking place tomorrow, we thought it was timely to put out a publicly accessible version of our analysis.

Recent publications

  • Shanika L Wickramasuriya, George Athanasopoulos, Rob J Hyndman (2019) Optimal forecast reconciliation for hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization. J. American Statistical Association, 114(526), 804-819. Abstract DOI  pdf
  • Alexander Severinsen, Rob J Hyndman (2019) Quantification of energy savings from energy conservation measures in buildings using machine learning. In: ECEEE Summer Study Proceedings. Presqu'île de Giens, France. 3-8 June 2019. Abstract Online  pdf
  • Spyros Makridakis, Rob J Hyndman, Fotios Petropoulos (2019) Forecasting in social settings: the state of the art. International Journal of Forecasting, to appear. Abstract  pdf
  • Jeremy Forbes, Dianne Cook, Rob J Hyndman (2019) Spatial modelling of the two-party preferred vote in Australian federal elections: 2001-2016. Abstract  pdf

Recent and upcoming seminars

  • High-dimensional time series analysis. (17 August 2019) More info...
  • Advancing forecasting research and practice. (19 June 2019) More info...
  • A feast of time series tools. (19 June 2019) More info...
  • Developing good research habits. (20 March 2019) More info...