Thinking big at Yahoo

I’m speak­ing in the “Yahoo Labs Big Thinkers” series on Fri­day 26 June. I hope I can live up to the title!

My talk is on “Explor­ing the bound­aries of pre­dictabil­ity: what can we fore­cast, and when should we give up?”  Essen­tially I will start with some of the ideas in this post, and then dis­cuss the fea­tures of hard-​​to-​​forecast time series.

So if you’re in the San Fran­cisco Bay area, please come along. Oth­er­wise, it will be streamed live on the Yahoo Labs web­site. Con­tinue reading →

Nominations for best International Journal of Forecasting paper, 2012-2013

Every two years, the Inter­na­tional Jour­nal of Fore­cast­ing awards a prize for the best paper pub­lished in a two year period. It is now time to iden­tify the best paper pub­lished in the IJF dur­ing 2012 and 2013. There is always about 18 months delay after the pub­li­ca­tion period to allow time for reflec­tion, cita­tions, etc. The prize is US$1000 plus an engraved plaque. Con­tinue reading →

Statistical modelling and analysis of big data

I’m cur­rently attend­ing the one day work­shop on this topic at QUT in Bris­bane. This morn­ing I spoke on “Visu­al­iz­ing and fore­cast­ing big time series data”. My slides are here.

The talks are being streamed.


Big data is now endemic in busi­ness, indus­try, gov­ern­ment, envi­ron­men­tal man­age­ment, med­ical sci­ence, social research and so on. One of the com­men­su­rate chal­lenges is how to effec­tively model and analyse these data.

This work­shop will bring together national and inter­na­tional experts in sta­tis­ti­cal mod­el­ling and analy­sis of big data, to share their expe­ri­ences, approaches and opin­ions about future direc­tions in this field.